Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning (SNAP)

Overview & Applicability

SNAP provides several platforms for looking at historic climate trends and climate projections in Alaska and western Canada:

1. Downloadable datasets for historic climate data and projected climate data (temperature and precipitation).

2. Interactive map - provides climate projections for Alaska and western Canada for each decade through 2100. User can choose what variables, time periods, seasonal averages, and emissions scenarios they’d like to view.

Scenarios Network for Alaska and Arctic Planning (SNAP) climate projection map

SNAP provides climate projections (temperature and precipitation) for Alaska and western Canada, using an ensemble of climate models (GCMs) and 3 emissions scenarios. Information is presented in a variety of formats.

Biophysical limitations, migration potential, and climatic ranges of tree species in the interface between the boreal forest and the temperate rainforest in Alaska

Pacific Northwest Research Station
Western Wildland Environmental Threat Assessment Center
Research Partners: 
University of Alaska Anchorage
Principal Investigator(s): 
Tara Barrett

Three major biomes intersect in the south-central region of Alaska: the western edge of the coastal rainforest, the southern edge of the boreal forest, and the eastern edge of the mostly treeless tundra and shrub ecosystems of southwest Alaska. Predictions of climate change responses for these ecosystems vary widely and substantial vegetation changes in this area will have large impacts on the area economy. This study will evaluate tree species' vulnerability to climate change in this area of AK.

Project Abstract: 

See more below

Project Status: 
Research Results: 

In the spring of 2012, the Chugach National Forest began a climate vulnerability assessment that provided a good outlet for presenting results from this project on potential migration of tree species in the south-central Alaska region. Tara Barrett and Robert Pattison participated in the workshop for this assessment at the University of Alaska Anchorage and worked with other participants to outline a chapter in the assessment focused on vegetation change in relation to climate in south-central Alaska. Researchers created a climate envelope model of the three spruce species in the region (Picea sitchensis, Picea glauca, and Picea mariana) and provided results of the model to the vegetation/wildlife group both in a written summary and in an informal presentation. A literature review on migration potential is near completion.

Yellow-cedar research yields prototype for climate change adaptation planning

We just followed the most likely evidence and it turns out that climate change is a central part of cedar death.

Adapted from an article by Marie Oliver

Warmer winters likely to expand range of dwarf mistletoe

Pacific Northwest Research Station
Research Partners: 
The Nature Conservancy
Principal Investigator(s): 
Paul Hennon

Climate is a key control that regulates where tree species and their pathogens can survive. By analyzing forest inventory data, scientists found that hemlock dwarf mistletoe, a leading disease agent for western hemlock, is restricted to the warmer southerly and low elevation forests in Alaska. The absence of dwarf mistletoe in some hemlock forests may be attributed to shorter growing seasons or suggest that snow limits dwarf mistletoe's reproductive dispersal. Both western hemlock and hemlock dwarf mistletoe are projected to benefit from a warmer, less snowy climate. Scientists are projecting the potential distributions of both the tree and disease agent to affect the health of western hemlock forests during the next century in Alaska.

Project Status: 
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