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Books
Responses of Northern U.S. Forests
to Environmental Change
ISBN 0-387-98900-5
Chapter 4: Forest Declines in Response to Environmental
Change
Philip M. Wargo and Allan N.D. Auclair
Decline diseases, linked to stress and environmental change,
have increased significantly over the past century and in particular
in the last two decades. A well-developed theoretical basis explains
decline diseases in terms of the interactions between predisposing
factors, inciting factors, and contributing factors. If the theoretical
models are correct, then increased levels of various interacting
stressors in the Northeast are likely to lead to increased incidence
of decline disease. Increasing environmental stress is occurring
at the same time as many species reach biological maturity across
much of their range, a consequence of past land use impacts. Aging
forests are known to be more susceptible to decline disease.
Drought and defoliation are the most common stressors associated
with decline disease in the Northeast. Other important stressors
include sucking insects, defoliation from late spring frost, and
fungal leaf pathogens. Examples of the occurrence of decline disease
include: (1) mature and abundant sugar maple in Northwest Pennsylvania,
affected by biotic factors (defoliating insects, borers, and canker
fungus), a series of droughts, and acid deposition; (2) red spruce
in the Northeast, affected by winter injury and acid deposition;
and (3) a series of widespread and simultaneous declines associated
with climatic extremes over the last century. The extent and severity
of declines seems
(a) Century
trends in annual and cumulative loss to mortality and reduced growth
due to dieback in Appalachian region (Vermont, New York, Pennsylvania,
West Virginia, Maryland) of the Northeastern U.S.

(b) The local stress
index based on extreme freezing and drought stresses at Burlington,
VT. 1910 to 1995.
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