Version 3

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northern white-cedar (Thuja occidentalis) Model Reliability: High Model Reliability High

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Current Distribution Maps for northern white-cedar

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>Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for northern white-cedar
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Current Forest Inventory and Analysis

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Climate Change Scenario Maps Model Reliability High

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Hadley - High Scenario for northern white-cedar
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HadleyCM3 – A1FI (High, "Harsh") Climate Scenario

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Ranked Maps of the Predictors Used in the Model

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Mean May-September temperature (°C)
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Mean May-September temperature (°C)



Potential Changes in Abundance and Range (Future)

GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual FIA 7.1 6.6 4,554 NA
Modelled Current 11.8 4.1 4,672 NA
GCM3Avg-Lo 8.1 1.8 1,397 0.3
GCM3Avg-Hi 8 1.4 1,071 0.23
PCM-Lo 8.6 2.2 1,878 0.4
PCM-Hi 7.6 1.4 1,057 0.23
GFDL-Lo 8.4 1.8 1,455 0.31
GFDL-Hi 10.1 1.4 1,429 0.31
Hadley-Lo 7.8 1.6 1,204 0.26
Hadley-Hi 7.8 1.3 1,008 0.22


Notice:

This is version 3 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas. You can view version 4 of the Tree Atlas, or the most current northern white-cedar page.



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https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/atlas/tree/v3/241