Summary Change Maps for spruce pine

Model Reliability: Low

Maps depicting changes in habitat quality (represented as Importance Values) and the difference between the modeled habitats for three general circulation models (CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, and HadGEM2-ES) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). The averages among the three GCMs are also provided.

Current Forest Inventory & Analysis

Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for spruce pine

Modeled Habitat

Modeled Habitat for spruce pine

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Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for spruce pine

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for spruce pine
 

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for spruce pine

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for spruce pine
 

HadGEM2-ES

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for spruce pine

HadGEM2-ES

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for spruce pine
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for spruce pine

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for spruce pine
 

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)

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Legend

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Hadley

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Hadley

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for spruce pine under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)