Summary Change Maps for pawpaw

Model Reliability: Low

Maps depicting changes in habitat quality (represented as Importance Values) and the difference between the modeled habitats for three general circulation models (CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, and HadGEM2-ES) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). The averages among the three GCMs are also provided.

Current Forest Inventory & Analysis

Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for pawpaw

Modeled Habitat

Modeled Habitat for pawpaw

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Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for pawpaw

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for pawpaw
 

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for pawpaw

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for pawpaw
 

HadGEM2-ES

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for pawpaw

HadGEM2-ES

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for pawpaw
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for pawpaw

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for pawpaw
 

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)

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Legend

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Hadley

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Hadley

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for pawpaw under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)