Summary Change Maps for paper birch

Model Reliability: High

Maps depicting changes in habitat quality (represented as Importance Values) and the difference between the modeled habitats for three general circulation models (CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, and HadGEM2-ES) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). The averages among the three GCMs are also provided.

Current Forest Inventory & Analysis

Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for paper birch

Modeled Habitat

Modeled Habitat for paper birch

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Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for paper birch

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for paper birch
 

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for paper birch

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for paper birch
 

HadGEM2-ES

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for paper birch

HadGEM2-ES

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for paper birch
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for paper birch

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for paper birch
 

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)

Legend

Legend

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Hadley

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Hadley

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for paper birch under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 
https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/atlas/tree/v4/modals/summary-change.php?spp=375