Summary Change Maps for sourwood

Model Reliability: High

Maps depicting changes in habitat quality (represented as Importance Values) and the difference between the modeled habitats for three general circulation models (CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, and HadGEM2-ES) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). The averages among the three GCMs are also provided.

Current Forest Inventory & Analysis

Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for sourwood

Modeled Habitat

Modeled Habitat for sourwood

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Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for sourwood

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for sourwood
 

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for sourwood

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for sourwood
 

HadGEM2-ES

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for sourwood

HadGEM2-ES

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for sourwood
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for sourwood

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for sourwood
 

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)

Legend

Legend

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Hadley

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Hadley

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for sourwood under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 
https://www.fs.usda.gov/nrs/atlas/tree/v4/modals/summary-change.php?spp=711