Summary Change Maps for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

Model Reliability: Medium

Maps depicting changes in habitat quality (represented as Importance Values) and the difference between the modeled habitats for three general circulation models (CCSM4, GFDL-CM3, and HadGEM2-ES) under two representative concentration pathways (RCP 4.5 and 8.5). The averages among the three GCMs are also provided.

Current Forest Inventory & Analysis

Current Forest Inventory and Analysis for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

Modeled Habitat

Modeled Habitat for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

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Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak
 

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak
 

HadGEM2-ES

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

HadGEM2-ES

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

HadGEM2-ES, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5) for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak
 

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Community Climate System Model 4.0 (CCSM4), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)

Legend

Legend

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL)

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL), Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Hadley

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Hadley

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Hadley, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)
 

Average of 3 GCM

Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 4.5)

Average of 3 GCM

High emissions (RCP 8.5)

Difference Summary for cherrybark oak; swamp red oak under Average of 3 GCM, Moderate emissions (RCP 8.5)