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Decline in the pulp and paper industry: Effects on backward-linked forest industries and local economies

Formally Refereed
Authors: Consuelo Brandeis, Zhimei Guo
Year: 2016
Type: Scientific Journal
Station: Southern Research Station
Source: Forest Products Journal


Pulp, paper, and paperboard mills consume close to 52 percent of southern roundwood, providing a  significant market to southern forest landowners. Declining numbers of pulpwood-using mills and downward trends in mill  capacity, however, present a growing challenge to the southern forest sector. Shrinking mill  capacity affects rural communities that depend on mill demand for labor and other production  inputs. This study investigates the effect of pulp mill closures on the regional and local economy,
focusing on the spillover effects to forestry and forest products industry. Multiregional  input–output models were built for two mill closures using Impact Analysis for Planning (IMPLAN)  showing linkages among different sectors, households, and governments in the regional economy.  Results revealed the different effects across wood procuring zones with areas displaying significant  loss in logging activity. Significance to other forestry-related industries depended on closed  mills’ inputs. We compared our results with information available in the literature regarding  expected economic impact from a wood pellet mill, an alternative market for small-size wood. We  expect research results will provide valuable information to policymakers and managers when  addressing likely future changes in the paper manufacturing industry.


Brandeis, Consuelo; Guo, Zhimei. 2016.Decline in the pulp and paper industry: Effects on backward-linked forest industries and local economies. Forest Products Journal. 66(1-2): 113-118.