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Curtis H. Flather



Publications

Howard, Christine; Flather, Curtis H.; Stephens, Philip A., 2020. A global assessment of the drivers of threatened terrestrial species richness
Klingbeil, Brian T.; Frank A. La Sorte,; Lepczyk, Christopher A.; Fink, Daniel; Flather, Curtis H., 2020. Geographical associations with anthropogenic noise pollution for North American breeding birds
Sofaer, Helen R.; Flather, Curtis H.; Skagen, Susan K.; Steen, Valerie A.; Noon, Barry R., 2019. Clustering and ensembling approaches to support surrogatebased species management
Martinuzzi, Sebastian; Allstadt, Andrew J.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Flather, Curtis H.; Jolly, William M.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2019. Future changes in fire weather, spring droughts, and false springs across U.S. National Forests and Grasslands
Carter, Sarah K.; Fleishman, Erica; Leinwand, Ian I F.; Flather, Curtis H.; Carr, Natasha B.; Fogarty, Frank A.; Leu, Matthias; Noon, Barry R.; Wohlfeil, Martha E.; Wood, David J. A., 2019. Quantifying ecological integrity of terrestrial systems to inform management of multiple-use public lands in the United States
Cubbage, Frederick; Abt, Robert; Sheffield, Ray; Flather, Curtis H.; Wickham, James, 2018. Forest wetland area and the forest sector economy in the U.S. South
Sofaer, Helen R.; Jarnevich, Catherine S.; Flather, Curtis H., 2018. Misleading prioritizations from modelling range shifts under climate change
Reynolds, Richard T.; Lambert, Jeffrey; Flather, Curtis H.; White, Gary C.; Bird, Benjamin J.; Baggett, L. Scott; Lambert, Carrie; Bayard de Volo, Shelley, 2017. Long-term demography of the Northern Goshawk in a variable environment
Hayward, Gregory D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Rowland, Mary M.; Terney, Regis; Mellen-McLean, Kim; Malcolm, Karl D.; McCarthy, Clinton; Boyce, Douglas A., 2016. Applying the 2012 Planning Rule to conserve species: A practitioner's reference
Carter, Sarah K.; Carr, Natasha B.; Flather, Curtis H.; Fleishman, Erica; Leu, Matthias; Noon, Barry R.; Wood, David J. A., 2016. Assessing ecological integrity using multiscale information from Bureau of Land Management Assessment and Monitoring Programs [Chapter 4]
Bateman, Brooke L.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Flather, Curtis H.; VanDerWal, Jeremy; Akcakaya, H. Resit; Thogmartin, Wayne E.; Albright, Thomas P.; Vavrus, Stephen J.; Heglund, Patricia J., 2016. Potential breeding distributions of U.S. birds predicted with both short-term variability and long-term average climate data
Evans, Daniel M.; Che-Castaldo, Judy P.; Crouse, Deborah; Davis, Frank W.; Epanchin-Niell, Rebecca; Flather, Curtis H.; Frohlich, R. Kipp; Goble, Dale D.; Li, Ya-Wei; Male, Timothy D.; Master, Lawrence L.; Moskwik, Matthew P.; Neel, Maile C.; Noon, Barry R.; Parmesan, Camille; Schwartz, Mark W.; Scott, J. Michael; Williams, Byron K., 2016. Species recovery in the United States: Increasing the effectiveness of the Endangered Species Act
Gutzwiller, Kevin J.; Riffell, Samuel K.; Flather, Curtis H., 2015. Avian abundance thresholds, human-altered landscapes, and the challenge of assemblage-level conservation
Wood, Eric M.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Helmers, David P.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Keuler, Nicholas S.; Flather, Curtis H., 2015. Long-term avian community response to housing development at the boundary of US protected areas: Effect size increases with time
Nelson, Mark D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Riitters, Kurt H.; Sieg, Carolyn H.; Garner, James D., 2015. National report on sustainable forests—2015: conservation of biological diversity
Wood, Eric M.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Helmers, David; Culbert, Patrick D.; Keuler, Nicholas S.; Flather, Curtis H., 2014. Housing development erodes avian community structure in U.S. protected areas
Wood, Eric M.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Helmers, David; Culbert, Patrick D.; Keuler, Nicholas S.; Flather, Curtis H., 2014. Housing development erodes avian community structure in U.S. protected areas
Kalyuzhny, Michael; Seri, Efrat; Chocron, Rachel; Flather, Curtis H.; Kadmon, Ronen; Shnerb, Nadav M., 2014. Niche versus neutrality: a dynamical analysis
Reese, Gordon C.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Flather, Curtis H., 2014. Performance of species richness estimators across assemblage types and survey parameters
Czech, B.; Covington, S.; Crimmins, T. M.; Ericson, J. A.; Flather, Curtis H.; Gale, M.; Gerst, K.; Higgins, M.; Kaib, M.; Marino, E.; Moran, T.; Morton, J.; Niemuth, N.; Peckett, H.; Savignano, D.; Saperstein, L.; Skorupa, S.; Wagener, E.; Wilen, B.; Wolfe, B., 2014. Planning for climate change on the National Wildlife Refuge System
Pidgeon, Anna M.; Flather, Curtis H.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Lepczyk, Christopher A.; Keuler, Nicholas S.; Wood, Eric M.; Stewart, Susan I.; Hammer, Roger B., 2014. Systematic temporal patterns in the relationship between housing development and forest bird biodiversity
Kalyuzhny, Michael; Schreiber, Yishai; Chocron, Rachel; Flather, Curtis H.; Kessler, David A.; Shnerb, Nadav M., 2014. Temporal fluctuation scaling in populations and communities
Sturges, Frank; Joyce, Linda A.; Brown, Thomas C.; Flather, Curtis H.; ; Reeves, Matt C., 2013. Coming to a landscape near you: Natural resource changes in the Interior West
Cushman, Samuel A.; Landguth, Erin L.; Flather, Curtis H., 2013. Evaluating population connectivity for species of conservation concern in the American Great Plains
Reese, Gordon C.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Flather, Curtis H., 2013. Program SimAssem: software for simulating species assemblages and estimating species richness
Culbert, Patrick D.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Flather, Curtis H.; Kellndorfer, Josef M.; Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Pidgeon, Anna M., 2013. The influence of vertical and horizontal habitat structure on nationwide patterns of avian biodiversity
Lepczyk, Christopher A.; Wunnicke, Aaron; Radeloff, Volker C.; Flather, Curtis H.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Hammer, Roger B., 2013. Using housing growth to estimate habitat change: detecting Ovenbird response in a rapidly growing New England State
Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Albright, Thomas P.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Clayton, Murray K.; Flather, Curtis H.; Masek, Jeffrey G.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2012. Land-cover change and avian diversity in the conterminous United States
Culbert, Patrick D.; Radeloff, Volker C.; St-Louis, Veronique; Flather, Curtis H.; Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Albright, Thomas P.; Pidgeon, Anna M., 2012. Modeling broad-scale patterns of avian species richness across the Midwestern United States with measures of satellite image texture
Flather, Curtis H.; Hayward, Gregory D.; Beissinger, Steven R.; Stephens, Philip A., 2011. A general target for MVPs: Unsupported and unnecessary
York, Patricia; Evangelista, Paul; Kumar, Sunil; Graham, James; Flather, Curtis H.; Stohlgren, Thomas, 2011. A habitat overlap analysis derived from Maxent for Tamarisk and the South-western Willow Flycatcher
Hansen, Andrew J.; Phillips, Linda Bowers; Flather, Curtis H.; Robinson-Cox, Jim, 2011. Carrying capacity for species richness as context for conservation: a case study of North American birds
Albright, Thomas P.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Clayton, Murray K.; Flather, Curtis H.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2011. Heat waves measured with MODIS land surface temperature data predict changes in avian community structure
Flather, Curtis H.; Knowles, Mike; Sieg, Carolyn H., 2011. Indicator 1.04: Number of native forest-associated species
Beissinger, Steven R.; Flather, Curtis H.; Hayward, Gregory D.; Stephens, Philip A., 2011. No safety in numbers
Phillips, Linda Bowers; Hansen, Andrew J.; Flather, Curtis H.; Robinson-Cox, Jim, 2010. Applying species-energy theory to conservation: A case study for North American birds
Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Albright, Thomas P.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Clayton, Murray K.; Flather, Curtis H.; Huang, Chengquan; Masek, Jeffrey G.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2010. Avifauna response to hurricanes: regional changes in community similarity
Albright, Thomas P.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Clayton, Murray K.; Wardlow, Brian D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2010. Combined effects of heat waves and droughts on avian communities across the conterminous United States
Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Albright, Thomas P.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Clayton, Murray K.; Flather, Curtis H.; Huang, Chengquan; Masek, Jeffrey G.; Stewart, Susan I.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2010. Conservation of forest birds: evidence of a shifting baseline in community structure
Albright, Thomas P.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Rittenhouse, Chadwick D.; Clayton, Murray K.; Flather, Curtis H.; Culbert, Patrick D.; Wardlow, Brian D.; Radeloff, Volker C., 2010. Effects of drought on avian community structure
Radeloff, Volker. C.; Stewart, Susan I.; Hawbaker, Todd J.; Gimmi, Urs; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Flather, Curtis H.; Hammer, Roger. B.; Helmers, David P., 2010. Housing growth in and near United States protected areas limits their conservation value
Cushman, Samuel A.; Landguth, Erin L.; Flather, Curtis H., 2010. Phase I: Climate change and connectivity: Assessing landscape and species vulnerability
McRoberts, Ronald E.; Nelson, Mark D.; Mahal, Lisa; Flather, Curtis H.; Alig, Ralph J.; Comas, Sara, 2010. Private forest habitat for at-risk species: where is it and where might it be changing?
Shifley, S. R.; Flather, Curtis H.; Smith, W. B.; Riitters, K. H.; Sieg, Carolyn H., 2010. Status and progress in large-scale assessment of biological diversity in the United States
Hayward, Gregory D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Uloth, Erin; Safford, Hugh D.; Cleaves, David A., 2009. Managing fish and wildlife habitat in the face of climate change: USDA Forest Service perspective
Dickson, Brett G.; Noon, Barry R.; Flather, Curtis H.; Jentsch, Stephanie; Block, William M., 2009. Quantifying the multi-scale response of avifauna to prescribed fire experiments in the southwest United States
Joyce, Linda A.; Flather, Curtis H.; Koopman, Marni, 2008. Analysis of potential impacts of climate change on wildlife habitats in the U.S.
Cushman, Samuel A.; McKelvey, Kevin S.; Flather, Curtis H.; McGarigal, Kevin, 2008. Do forest community types provide a sufficient basis to evaluate biological diversity?
Grunzweig, Jose M.; Carmel, Yohay; Riov, Joseph; Sever, Nava; McCreary, Douglas D.; Flather, Curtis H., 2008. Growth, resource storage, and adaptation to drought in California and eastern Mediterranean oak seedlings
Lepczyk, Christopher A.; Flather, Curtis H.; Radeloff, Volker C.; Pidgeon, Anna M.; Hammer, Roger B.; Liu, Jianguo, 2008. Human impacts on regional avian diversity and abundance
Stohlgren, Thomas J.; Flather, Curtis H.; Jarnevich, Catherine S.; Barnett, David T.; Kartesz, John, 2008. Rejoinder to Harrison (2008): The myth of plant species saturation
Stohlgren, Thomas J.; Barnett, David T.; Jarnevich, Catherine S.; Flather, Curtis H.; Kartesz, John, 2008. The myth of plant species saturation
McCreary, Douglas; Gruzweig, Jose M.; Carmel, Yohay; Flather, Curtis H., 2008. The response of native oaks from California and Israel to drought
Raphael, Martin G.; Molina, Randy; Flather, Curtis H.; Holthausen, Richard S.; Johnson, Richard L.; Marcot, Bruce G.; Olson, Deanna H.; Peine, John D.; Sieg, Carolyn H.; Swanson, Cindy S., 2007. A process for selection and implementation of conservation approaches
Pidgeon, A. M.; Radeloff, V. C.; Flather, Curtis H.; Lepczyk, C. A.; Clayton, M. K.; Hawbaker, T. J.; Hammer, R. B., 2007. Associations of forest bird species richness with housing and landscape pattern across the United States
Hof, John; Flather, Curtis H., 2007. Optimization of landscape pattern [Chapter 8]
Flather, Curtis H.; Sieg, Carolyn H., 2007. Species rarity: definition, causes, and classification
Carmel, Yohay; Flather, Curtis H., 2006. Constrained range expansion and climate change assessments
Hamer, Tammy L.; Flather, Curtis H.; Noon, Barry R., 2006. Factors associated with grassland bird richness: The role of landscape structure and prey
Flather, Curtis H.; Stohlgren, Thomas J.; Jarnevich, Catherine; Barnett, David; Kartesz, John, 2006. Plant species invasions along the latitudinal gradient in the United States: Reply
Shriner, Susan A.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Flather, Curtis H., 2006. Reserve networks based on richness hotspots and representation vary with scale
Stohlgren, Thomas J.; Barnett, David T.; Flather, Curtis H.; Fuller, Pam L.; Peterjohn, Bruce G.; Kartesz, John T.; Master, Lawrence L., 2006. Species richness and patterns of invasion in plants, birds, and fishes in the United States
Reese, Gordon C.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Hoeting, Jennifer A.; Flather, Curtis H., 2005. Factors affecting species distribution predictions: A simulation modeling experiment
Stohlgren, Thomas J.; Barnett, David; Flather, Curtis H.; Kartesz, John; Peterjohn, Bruce, 2005. Plant species invasions along the latitudinal gradient in the United States
Cade, Brian S.; Noon, Barry R.; Flather, Curtis H., 2005. Quantile regression reveals hidden bias and uncertainty in habitat models
Bender, Darren J.; Flather, Curtis H.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Reese, Gordon C., 2005. Regional data to support biodiversity assessments: terrestrial vertebrate and butterfly data from the Southwest
Flather, Curtis H.; Ricketts, Taylor H.; Sieg, Carolyn H.; Knowles, Mike; Fay, John P.; McNees, Jason, 2003. Criterion 1: Conservation of biological diversity - Indicator 6: The number of forest dependent species
Vance, Melissa D.; Fahrig, Lenore; Flather, Curtis H., 2003. Effect of reproductive rate on minimum habitat requirements of forest-breeding birds
Bevers, Michael; Flather, Curtis H.; Hof, John; Kaiser, H. Fred, 2003. Sustaining wildlife populations in productively managed forests
Cam, Emmanuelle; Nichols, James D.; Hines, James E.; Saur, John R.; Alpizar-Jara, Russell; Flather, Curtis H., 2002. Disentangling sampling and ecological explanations underlying species-area relationships
Boulinier, Thierry; Nichols, James D.; Hines, James E.; Sauer, John R.; Flather, Curtis H.; Pollock, Kenneth H., 2001. Forest fragmentation and bird community dynamics: inference at regional scales
Hansen, Andrew J.; Neilson, Ronald P.; Dale, Virginia H.; Flather, Curtis H.; Iverson, Louis R.; Currie, David J.; Shafer, Sarah; Cook, Rosamonde; Bartlein, Partick J., 2001. Global change in forests: responses of species, communities, and biomes
Loftus, Andrew J.; Flather, Curtis H., 2000. Fish and other aquatic resource trends in the United States
Cam, Emmanuelle; Sauer, John R.; Nichols, James D.; Hines, James E.; Flather, Curtis H., 2000. Geographic analysis of species richness and community attributes of forest birds from survey data in the Mid-Atlantic Integrated Assessment Region
Cam, Emmanuelle; Nichols, James D.; Sauer, John R.; Hines, James E.; Flather, Curtis H., 2000. Relative species richness and community completeness: Birds and urbanization in the Mid-Atlantic States
Hof, John; Flather, Curtis H.; Baltic, Tony; Davies, Stephen, 1999. Projections of forest and rangeland condition indicators for a national assessment
Sieg, Carolyn H.; Flather, Curtis H.; McCanny, Stephen, 1999. Recent biodiversity patterns in the Great Plains: Implications for restoration and management
Boulinier, Thierry; Nichols, James D.; Hines, James E.; Saur, John R.; Flather, Curtis H.; Pollock, Kenneth H., 1998. Higher temporal variability of forest breeding bird communities in fragmented landscapes
Beard, T. Douglas Jr.; Austen, Douglas; Brady, Stephen; Costello, Mike E.; Drewes, Henry G.; Young-Dubovsky, Constance H.; Flather, Curtis H.; Gengerke, Thomas W.; Larson, Chris; Loftus, Andrew J.; Mac, Michael J., 1998. The Multi-State Aquatic Resources Information System: An internet system to access fisheries information in the Upper Midwestern United States
Flather, Curtis H.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Dean, Denis J.; McComb, William C., 1997. Identifying gaps in conservation networks: of indicators and uncertainty in geographic-based analyses
Dean, Dennis J.; Wilson, Kenneth R.; Flather, Curtis H., 1997. Spatial error analysis of species richness for a Gap Analysis map
Cubbage, Frederick W.; Flather, Curtis H., 1993. Forested wetland area and distribution: A detailed look at the South
Hoekstra, Thomas W.; Allen, Timothy F. H.; Flather, Curtis H., 1991. Implicit scaling in ecological research: On when to make studies of mice and men
Joyce, Linda A.; Flather, Curtis H.; Flebbe, Patricia A.; Hoekstra, Thomas W.; Ursic, Stan J., 1990. Integrating Forage, Wildlife, Water, and Fish Projections with Timber Projections at the Regional Level: A Case Study in Southern United States
Rexstad, Eric A.; Miller, Drik D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Anderson, Eric M.; Hupp, Jerry W.; Anderson, David R., 1990. Questionable multivariate statistical inference in wildlife habitat and community studies: A reply
Rexstad, Eric A.; Miller, Dirk D.; Flather, Curtis H.; Anderson, Eric; Hupp, Jerry W.; Anderson, David R., 1988. Questionable multivariate statistical inference in wildlife habitat and community studies
Flather, Curtis H.; Hoekstra, Thomas W., 1985. Evaluating population-habitat models using ecological theory
The swift fox is a species of conservation concern in the Great Plains (photo compliments of the National Park Service).
Increasing human populations have fueled urban development and land conversion, causing substantial loss and fragmentation of wildlife habitat. In addition, climate change is expected to drive large-scale shifts in ecological conditions and geographic shifts in vegetation types. RMRS researchers found that species’ dispersal ability plays a larger role than its landscape resistance in determining connectivity. Specific information on habitat needs and connectivity issues for multiple species can better inform habitat management at landscape scales.
Species like the European Starling (top, photo courtesy of Cephas/Creative Commons) thrive with human settlement.
Housing development has been particularly strong near protected lands because many people see these environments as desirable places to live. This study documented the trends in new home construction near protected lands and explored if this housing development impacted biodiversity of avian species within protected areas.
Findings from this project help resource specialists explore the potential impacts of declining hunting participation, identify regions and activities experiencing the greatest decline, anticipate changes to communities dependent on wildlife-associated recreation, and consider new mechanisms to fund wildlife management. 
Climate change will affect wildlife directly through temperature and moisture changes and indirectly through habitat availability as vegetation types and ecosystem productivity changes. Our study focuses on the western United States, on an annual time frame, and at a 0.083 degree grid cell spatial scale.
In the last decade there has been growing use of ecosystem services to economically justify biodiversity conservation programs that ultimately contribute to human well-being. The short term costs of biodiversity degradation remain overshadowed by the short term economic benefits of resource extraction and land use intensification to support growing human populations. Spatially explicit models of at-risk species occurrence are needed to anticipate where imperilment issues are likely to emerge in the future under alternative climate and land use scenarios. 
We assessed whether theory about species’ geographic ranges can be refined to reflect abrupt changes in distribution and abundance associated with human-dominated land uses, and whether the prevalence and diversity of these abrupt relationships may significantly complicate the management of multiple species simultaneously.
Population viability remains an important concept to Forest Service planning. Determining priorities for species conservation and management is facilitated by an ability to estimate the extinction risk associated with populations of different sizes. The need to set species population conservation targets, even in data-deficient situations, has prompted researchers to ask whether there are general guidelines that can supplant the need for species-specific estimates of extinction risk.
To ensure that wetland habitats are conserved, an efficient means of identifying wetlands at risk of conversion is needed, especially in the southern United States where the rate of loss has been highest in recent decades.