You are here

Modeling, assessment, and planning to support fire management decisions

August, 2015

The size and complexity of wildfire management challenges continues to grow. Rapid expansion of Wildland Urban Interface is interacting with ecological changes, spurred by altered fire regimes and changing climate. Part of the solution to dealing with this increase in fire complexity is to reduce uncertainties inherent within active fire management, where time-sensitive decisions often rely upon incomplete information. Through a combination of pre-season and real-time simulation modeling, situational assessment, and risk-planning, The Wildfire Risk Management Science team is working with land managers at local and regional scales to improve the information available to decision-makers prior to and during wildfires.

Strategic Wildfire Risk Planning Progress Spring 2019
Strategic Wildfire Risk Planning Progress Spring 2019

Below are links to a series of current and ongoing projects that address the range of spatial and temporal scales of supporting landscape and fire management decision making.

  1. Facilitating pre-season planning to identify control opportunities and high priority areas
  2. Real-time identification of wildfire responder hazards and operational engagement opportunities
  3. Evaluating spatiotemporal tradeoffs under alternative fuel management and suppression policies: measuring returns on investment
  4. Strategic wildfire risk: aligning wildfire response actions with land and resource planning


Thompson, Matthew P. ; Bowden, Phil ; Brough, April ; Scott, Joe H. ; Gilbertson-Day, Julie ; Taylor, Alan ; Anderson, Jennifer ; Haas, Jessica R. , 2016
O'Connor, Christopher D. ; Thompson, Matthew P. ; Rodriguez y Silva, Francisco , 2016
Thompson, Matthew P. ; Haas, Jessica R. ; Gilbertson-Day, Julie W. ; Scott, Joe H. ; Langowski, Paul ; Bowne, Elise ; Calkin, Dave E. , 2015
Scott, Joe H. ; Thompson, Matthew P. ; Calkin, Dave E. , 2013
Calkin, David E. ; Ager, Alan ; Thompson, Matthew P. ; Finney, Mark A. ; Lee, Danny C. ; Quigley, Thomas M. ; McHugh, Charles W. ; Riley, Karin ; Gilbertson-Day, Julie M. , 2011
Thompson, Matthew P. ; Calkin, Dave E. ; Gilbertson-Day, Julie W. ; Ager, Alan A. , 2011

Project Contact: 

Joe H. Scott - Pyrologix LLC

Julie Gilbertson-Day - Pyrologix LLC
Christopher J. Dunn - Oregon State University

Research Staff: