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Estimating Methods, Variability, and Sampling for Drop-Test Data

Appendix—Details on Cups, Error Variance, and Grid Spacing

Cups

The following cups (table 8) and lids (table 9) were used and their weight recorded.

Table 8—Weight of cups used in the six drop
Weight range (grams) Average (grams) Total cups
26.85 to 26.95 26.90 5,000
26.75 to 26.85 26.80 4,000
26.65 to 26.75 26.70 3,000

 

Table 9—Weight of the lids used in the six
Weight range (grams) Average (grams) Total lids
16.45 to 16.55 16.50 2,500
16.35 to 16.45 16.40 8,500
  • Average cup weight = [(26.9*5) + (26.8*4) + (26.7*3)]/12 = 26.816667 grams
  • Standard deviation = 0.07993 grams. Variance = 0.0063888049 grams
  • Average lid weight = [(16.4*8.5) + (16.5*2.5)]/11 = 16.422727 grams
  • Standard deviation = 0.04191 grams. Variance = 0.0017564481 grams
  • Tare (average weight of cup and lid) = 43.23939 grams

Combined standard deviation:

Equation: square root of ((0.07993)^2 + (0.04191)^2) equals 0.09025

The lowest possible cup and lid weight was 43.00 grams and the highest was 43.50. If a cup with retardant in it weighed less than 43.23939 grams, the computer program automatically switched to a tare weight of 43.00 to avoid negative gpc.

At a 99-percent confidence level (CI), the margin of error for the tare weight of 43.2393 grams is ± 0.23249 (2.576*0.09025 = 0.23249)

At a 95 percent CI, the margin of error for the tare weight is ± 0.17689 grams. (1.960*0.09025 = 0.17689 grams)

Error Variance Estimate for GPC

The error variance estimator for triangulated gpc values is:

Equation: V(tgpc)=[V(triangulation) + V(cups)/nc + V(lids)/nl]*0.124087^2

Where V (triangulation) is the triangulation variance. V (cups) is the variance for empty cups, and V (lids) is the variance for empty lids. nc and nl are the number of cups and the number of lids, respectively. 0.124087 is a constant that converts grams of retardant with density 1.095 grams per milliliter into gpc.

Mean square error (MSE) is an estimate of the triangulation variance. The three MSEs are 0.215, 0.262, and 0.256, which is an average MSE of 0.244.

0.003804 = [0.244 + 0.000000532 + 0.0000001597] * 0.1240872

Variance around triangulated gpc = 0.0038. Standard deviation around triangulated gpc = 0.0616.

Analysis of Variance

An example of an analysis of variance (ANOVA) model (figure 21).

*** Analysis of Variance Model ***

Short Output:

Cell:

  • aov(formula – Continuous ~ Ret + FlowRate, data – LineLengths05, qr – T, n.action – na.exclude)

Terms:

  Ret FlowRate Residuals
Sum of Squares 2790.75 7140.25 26.50
Deg. of Freedom 1 1 3

Residual standard error: 2.972092

Estimated effects may be unbalanced

  Df Sum of Sq Mean Sq F Value Pr(F)
Ret 1 2790.75 2790.750 315.9340 0.0003882841
FlowRate 1 7140.25 7140.250 808.3302 0.0000955337
Residuals 3 26.50 8.833    

Tables of means

Grand mean

  • 569.5

Ret

  GTSR Water
  554.25 600.00
rep 4.00 2.00

FlowRate

  High Low
  527.25 590.63
rep 2.00 4.00

Figure 21—Analysis of variance results.