Skip to Main Content
Phenology prediction component of GypsESAuthor(s): Jesse A. Logan; Lukas P. Schaub; F. William Ravlin
Source: IN: Gottschalk, Kurt W.; Twery, Mark J.; Smith, Shirley I., eds. Proceedings, U.S. Department of Agriculture interagency gypsy moth research review 1990; East Windsor, CT. Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-146. Radnor, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. 59-60.
Publication Series: General Technical Report (GTR)
Station: Northeastern Research Station
PDF: Download Publication (137.53 KB)
DescriptionPrediction of phenology is an important component of most pest management programs, and considerable research effort has been expended toward development of predictive tools for gypsy moth phenology. Although phenological prediction is potentially valuable for timing of spray applications (e.g. Bt, or Gypcheck) and other management activities (e.g. placement and removal of pheromone traps), we have had a difficult time effectively conceptualizing phenology prediction in GypsES. We have come to the realization that difficulties in representing phenology over a complex topographic landscape, such as is typical of many gypsy moth control areas, lies at the heart of the problem. Our current approach to phenological prediction, therefore, has two goals (1) representation of the complex landscape expression of gypsy moth phenology, and (2) reduction (or aggregation) of this complexity to a form that is useful in the management decision process. To meet these two goals, the problem of phenological representation falls into two catagories, Strategic Planning and Tactical Implementation.
- Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
- Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat.
- During the capture process some typographical errors may occur.
- Please contact Sharon Hobrla, firstname.lastname@example.org if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
CitationLogan, Jesse A.; Schaub, Lukas P.; Ravlin, F. William. 1991. Phenology prediction component of GypsES. IN: Gottschalk, Kurt W.; Twery, Mark J.; Smith, Shirley I., eds. Proceedings, U.S. Department of Agriculture interagency gypsy moth research review 1990; East Windsor, CT. Gen. Tech. Rep. NE-146. Radnor, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northeastern Forest Experiment Station. 59-60.
- Modeling gypsy moth seasonality
- Comparing Asian gypsy moth [Lymantria dispar asiatica (Lepidoptera: Erebidae) and L. dispar japonica] trap data from East Asian ports with lab parameterized phenology models: new tools and questions
- Landscape ecology of gypsy moth in the Northeastern United States
XML: View XML