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    Author(s): Mo Zhou; Joseph Buongiorno
    Date: 2005
    Source: Journal of Forest Economics 11 (2005) 5-19
    Publication Series: Miscellaneous Publication
    PDF: View PDF  (262 KB)

    Description

    The theory of demand and supply implies a positive relationship, or "price transmission" between the prices of products at different stages of manufacturing, This relationship was investigated with quarterly prices of softwood stumpage in the US South, and national prices of forest products, from 1977 to 2002. All prices, net of inflation, were found to be nonstationary and tllere was no evidence of co-integration between prices. Vector autogressive moclels, augmented by Granger causality tests and multiplier analysis showed that there was a one-to-one permanent positive response of the southern sawtimber stumpage price to a permanent change in the national lumber price. There was also a one-third permanent positive response of the national paper price to a permanent change in the national pulp price. There was no relation between regional pulpwood prices and national pulp or paper prices. When price transmission was significant, the full adjustment took about 2 years. $3 2005 Published by Elsevier GmbH.

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    Citation

    Zhou, Mo; Buongiorno, Joseph. 2005. Price transmission between products at different stages of manufacturing in forest industries. Journal of Forest Economics 11 (2005) 5-19

    Keywords

    prices, stumpage, timber, lumber, pulpwood, pulp, paper, econometrics, co-integration, causality, multiplier

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