Skip to Main Content
Defining conservation priorities using fragmentation forecastsAuthor(s): David Wear; John Pye; Kurt H. Riitters
Source: Ecology and Society 9 (5): 4. [online] URL: <a href=http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss5/art4>http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss5/art4</a>, 14 p.
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
PDF: View PDF (0 B)
DescriptionMethods are developed for forecasting the effects of population and economic growth on the distribution of interior forest habitat. An application to the southeastern United States shows that models provide significant explanatory power with regard to the observed distribution of interior forest. Estimates for economic and biophysical variables are significant and consistent with theory. Forecasts of interior forest based on the population and economic growth projected for the region are displayed by ecological section and province and by metropolitan statistical area (MSA). Loss of interior forests is expected to be especially high in certain ecological sections, including the southern Appalachian Piedmont in North and South Carolina, the Gulf prairies and marshes in Texas, and the Florida coastal lowlands. Sixty-six percent of loss of interior forests will be in urban counties, which highlights the conservation importance of the urbanizing fringe of several cities. Among the ten MSAs that will lose the most interior forest, seven are found in Florida. These forecasts provide a mechanism for assigning priorities and targeting areas for more detailed study and for conservation efforts.
- You may send email to firstname.lastname@example.org to request a hard copy of this publication.
- (Please specify exactly which publication you are requesting and your mailing address.)
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
CitationWear, David; Pye, John; Riitters, Kurt H. 2004. Defining conservation priorities using fragmentation forecasts. Ecology and Society 9 (5): 4. [online] URL: http://www.ecologyandsociety.org/vol9/iss5/art4, 14 p.
- Florida wildfire activity and atmospheric teleconnections
- RAPD analysis of the last population of a likely Florida Keys endemic cactus
- Fire in the wildland-urban interface: Selecting and maintaining firewise plants for landscaping
XML: View XML