Skip to Main Content
A reformulation of the Cost Plus Net Value Change (C+NVC) model of wildfire economicsAuthor(s): Geoffrey H. Donovan; Douglas B. Rideout
Source: Forest Science. 49(2): 318-323
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
PDF: Download Publication (678 KB)
DescriptionThe Cost plus Net Value Change (C+NVC) model provides the theoretical foundation for wildland fire economics and provides the basis for the National Fire Management Analysis System (NFMAS). The C+NVC model is based on the earlier least Cost plus Loss model (LC+L) expressed by Sparhawk (1925). Mathematical and graphical analysis of the LC+L model illustrates two errors in model formulation. First, suppression is incorrectly modeled as a model output. Second, suppression and primary protection are incorrectly modeled as negatively correlated. These errors are shown to be perpetuated by the contemporary C+NVC model and to have serious implications for the model's capacity to correctly identify the most efficient level of fire management expenditure. A corrected graphical representation of the C+NVC model is presented, which allows the most efficient level of fire management expenditure to be correctly identified.
- You may send email to firstname.lastname@example.org to request a hard copy of this publication.
- (Please specify exactly which publication you are requesting and your mailing address.)
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
CitationDonovan, Geoffrey H.; Rideout, Douglas B. 2003. A reformulation of the Cost Plus Net Value Change (C+NVC) model of wildfire economics. Forest Science. 49(2): 318-323
KeywordsEconomics, fire, cost plus net value change
- An integer programming model to optimize resource allocation for wildfire containment.
- Risk in fire management decisionmaking: techniques and criteria
- Economic analysis of prescribed burning for wildfire management in Western Australia
XML: View XML