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Prediction errors in wildland fire situation analyses.Author(s): Geoffrey H. Donovan; Peter Noordijk
Source: Fire Management Today. 65(2): 25-27
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
PDF: Download Publication (175 KB)
DescriptionWildfires consume budgets and put the heat on fire managers to justify and control suppression costs. To determine the appropriate suppression strategy, land managers must conduct a wildland fire situation analysis (WFSA) when:
- A wildland fire is expected to or does escape initial attack,
- A wildland fire managed for resource benefits exceeds prescription parameters, or
- A prescribed fire exceeds its prescription and is declared a wildfire.
On large wildfires, land managers sometimes conduct five or more WFSAs.
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CitationDonovan, Geoffrey H.; Noordijk, Peter. 2005. Prediction errors in wildland fire situation analyses. Fire Management Today. 65(2): 25-27
- Assessing the accuracy of wildland fire situation analysis (WFSA) fire size and suppression cost estimates.
- Ecological fire use for ecological fire management: Managing large wildfires by design
- The economic dimension of wildland fires
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