Skip to Main Content
U.S. Forest Service
Caring for the land and serving people

United States Department of Agriculture

Home > Search > Publication Information

  1. Share via EmailShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on Twitter
    Dislike this pubLike this pub
    Author(s): Daniel L. Schmoldt
    Date: 2001
    Source: Risk Analysis in Forest Management. 49-74.
    Publication Series: Miscellaneous Publication
    PDF: View PDF  (156.22 KB)

    Description

    Forest ecosystems are subject to a variety of natural and anthropogenic disturbances that extract a penalty from human population values. Such value losses (undesirable effects) combined with their likelihoods of occurrence constitute risk. Assessment or prediction of risk for various events is an important aid to forest management. Artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been applied to risk analysis owing to their ability to deal with uncertainty, vagueness, incomplete and inexact specifications, intuition, and qualitative information. This paper examines knowledge-based systems, fuzzy logic, artificial neural networks, and Bayesian belief networks and their application to risk analysis in the context of forested ecosystems. Disturbances covered are: fire, insects/diseases, meteorological, and anthropogenic. Insect/disease applications use knowledge-based system methods exclusively, whereas meteorological applications use only artificial neural networks. Bayesian belief network applications are almost nonexistent, even though they possess many theoretical and practical advantages. Embedded systems -that use AI alongside traditional methods are, not unexpectedly, quite common.

    Publication Notes

    • You may send email to pubrequest@fs.fed.us to request a hard copy of this publication.
    • (Please specify exactly which publication you are requesting and your mailing address.)
    • We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
    • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.

    Citation

    Schmoldt, Daniel L. 2001. Application of artificial intelligence to risk analysis for forested ecosystems. Risk Analysis in Forest Management. 49-74.

    Related Search


    XML: View XML
Show More
Show Fewer
Jump to Top of Page
https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pubs/2389