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Advances in threat assessment and their application to forest and rangeland management—Volume 1 and Volume 2.




Publication type:

General Technical Report (GTR)

Primary Station(s):

Pacific Northwest Research Station


Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-802. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest and Southern Research Stations. 708 p.


In July 2006, more than 170 researchers and managers from the United States, Canada, and Mexico convened in Boulder, Colorado, to discuss the state of the science in environmental threat assessment. This two-volume general technical report compiles peer-reviewed papers that were among those presented during the 3-day conference. Papers are organized by four broad topical sections—Land, Air and Water, Fire, and Pests/Biota—and are divided into syntheses and case studies. Land topics include discussions of forest land conversion and soil quality as well as investigations of species’ responses to climate change. Air and water topics include discussions of forest vulnerability to severe weather and storm damage modeling. Fire topics include discussions of wildland arson and wildfire risk management as well as how people precieve wildfire risk and uncertainty. Pests/biota topics include discussions of risk mapping and probabilistic risk assessments as well as investigations of individual threats, including the southern pine beetle and Phytophora alni. Ultimately, this publication will foster exchange and collaboration between those who develop knowledge and tools for threat assessment and those who are responsible for managing forests and rangelands.

Conversions of forest land: trends, determinants, projections, and policy considerations
Soil quality is fundamental to ensuring healthy forests
Assessing the threat that anthropogenic calcium depletion poses to forest health and productivity
Assessment of oak wilt threat to habitat of the golden-cheeked warbler, an endangered species, in central Texas
A methodology for assessing annual risk of southern pine beetle outbreaks across the southern region using pheromone traps
Using historical photography to monitor and assess threats over time
Integrating natural disturbances and management activities to examine risks and opportunities in the central Oregon landscape analysis
Moderate-resolution data and gradient nearest neighbor imputation for regional-national risk assessment
Integration of population genetic structure and plant response to climate change: sustaining genetic resources through evaluation of projected threats
Threats to private forest lands in the U.S.A.: a forests on the edge study
A spatial model for predicting effects of climate change on swiss needle cast disease severity in Pacific Northwest forests
Analyzing risks to protected areas using the human modification framework: a Colorado case study
Modeling species’ realized climatic niche space and predicting their response to global warming for several western forest species with small geographic distributions
The influence of forest management on vulnerability of forests to severe weather
Economic impacts of hurricanes on forest owners
Using remotely sensed data and elementary analytical techniques in post-katrina mississippi to examine storm damage modeling
Evaluating the vulnerability of Maine forests to wind damage
Information needs, acceptability of risk, trust, and reliance: The case of National Predictive Services customers
Advances in threat assessment and their application to forest and rangeland management—Volume 2
Ecological risk assessment to support fuels treatment project decisions
Wildland arson: a research assessment
Review of methods for developing probabilistic risk assessments
Managing wildland fire risk in Florida
Air pollution increases forest susceptibility to wildfires: a case study for the San Bernardino Mountains in southern California
Evaluating wildland fire danger and prioritizing vegetation and fuels treatments
Digital aerial sketchmapping and downlink communications: a new tool for fire managers
Assessing risks to multiple resources affected by wildfire and forest management using an integrated probabilistic framework
Probabilistic risk models for multiple disturbances: an example of forest insects and wildfires
Establishing a nationwide baseline of historical burn-severity data to support monitoring of trends in wildfire effects and national fire policies
Information needs, acceptability of risk, trust, and reliance: the case of national predictive services customers
Shared values and trust: the experience of community residents in a fire-prone ecosystem
Representing human-mediated pathways in forest pest risk mapping
Decisionmaking under risk in invasive species management: risk management theory and applications
The formation of dense understory layers in the forest worldwide: consequences and implications for forest dynamics, biodiversity, and succession
Methods to assess landscape-scale risk of bark beetle infestation to support forest management decisions
Review of methods for developing regional probabilistic risk assessments, part 2: modeling invasive plant, insect, and pathogen species
Developing and validating a method for monitoring and tracking changes in southern pine beetle hazard at the landscape level
Previsual detection of two conifer-infesting adelgid species in North American forest
Estimating the susceptibility to Phytophthora alni globally using both statistical analyses and expert knowledge
Assessing insect-induced tree mortality across large areas with high-resolution aerial photography in a multistage sample
Modeling potential movements of the emerald ash borer: the model framework
Risk analysis and guidelines for harvest activities in wisconsin oak timberlands to minimize oak wilt threat
Modeling current climate conditions for forest pest risk assessment
A multicriteria framework for producing local, regional, and national insect and disease risk maps
Uncertainty estimation for map-based analyses
An aquatic multiscale assessment and planning framework approach—forest plan revision case study
A landscape-scale remote sensing/GIS tool to assess eastern hemlock vulnerability to hemlock woolly adelgid-induced decline
Assessment of habitat threats to shrublands in the Great Basin: a case study
Evaluating the impact of invasive species in forest landscapes: the southern pine beetle and the hemlock woolly adelgid
Spread of invasive plants from roads to river systems in Alaska: a network model


Pye, John M.; Rauscher, H. Michael; Sands, Yasmeen; Lee, Danny C.; Beatty, Jerome S., tech. eds. 2010. Advances in threat assessment and their application to forest and rangeland management. Gen. Tech. Rep. PNW-GTR-802. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest and Southern Research Stations: 708 p.


Publication Notes

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