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    Author(s): Shi Chen; Shelby J. Fleischer; Patrick C. Tobin; Michael C. Saunders
    Date: 2011
    Source: Environmental Entomology. 40(3): 505-515.
    Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
    Station: Northern Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (445.08 KB)


    We develop individual-based Monte Carlo methods to explore how climate change can alter insect voltinism under varying greenhouse gas emissions scenarios by using input distributions of diapause termination or spring emergence, development rate, and diapause initiation, linked to daily temperature and photoperiod. We show concurrence of these projections with a field dataset, and then explore changes in grape berry moth, Paralobesia viteana (Clemens), voltinism that may occur with climate projections developed from the average of three climate models using two different future emissions scenarios from the International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC).

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    Chen, Shi; Fleischer, Shelby J.; Tobin, Patrick C.; Saunders, Michael C. 2011. Projecting insect voltinism under high and low greenhouse gas emission conditions. Environmental Entomology. 40(3): 505-515.


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    greenhouse gas emissions, climate change, phenology, voltinism, grape berry moth

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