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Projecting insect voltinism under high and low greenhouse gas emission conditionsAuthor(s): Shi Chen; Shelby J. Fleischer; Patrick C. Tobin; Michael C. Saunders
Source: Environmental Entomology. 40(3): 505-515.
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
Station: Northern Research Station
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DescriptionWe develop individual-based Monte Carlo methods to explore how climate change can alter insect voltinism under varying greenhouse gas emissions scenarios by using input distributions of diapause termination or spring emergence, development rate, and diapause initiation, linked to daily temperature and photoperiod. We show concurrence of these projections with a field dataset, and then explore changes in grape berry moth, Paralobesia viteana (Clemens), voltinism that may occur with climate projections developed from the average of three climate models using two different future emissions scenarios from the International Panel of Climate Change (IPCC).
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CitationChen, Shi; Fleischer, Shelby J.; Tobin, Patrick C.; Saunders, Michael C. 2011. Projecting insect voltinism under high and low greenhouse gas emission conditions. Environmental Entomology. 40(3): 505-515.
Keywordsgreenhouse gas emissions, climate change, phenology, voltinism, grape berry moth
- Historical and projected interactions between climate change and insect voltinism in a multivoltine species
- Geographic variation in diapause induction: The grape berry moth (Lepidoptera: Tortricidae)
- Projected impacts of climate change on the range and phenology of three culturally-important shrub species
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