Skip to Main Content
U.S. Forest Service
Caring for the land and serving people

United States Department of Agriculture

Home > Search > Publication Information

  1. Share via EmailShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on Twitter
    Dislike this pubLike this pub
    Author(s): D. Todd Jones-Farrand; Todd M. Fearer; Wayne E. Thogmartin; Frank R. ThompsonMark D. Nelson; John M. Tirpak
    Date: 2011
    Source: Ecological Applications
    Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
    Station: Northern Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (0 B)


    Selection of a modeling approach is an important step in the conservation planning process, but little guidance is available. We compared two statistical and three theoretical habitat modeling approaches representing those currently being used for avian conservation planning at landscape and regional scales: hierarchical spatial count (HSC), classification and regression tree (CRT), habitat suitability index (HSI), forest structure database (FS), and habitat association database (HA). We focused our comparison on models for five priority forest-breeding species in the Central Hardwoods Bird Conservation Region: Acadian Flycatcher, Cerulean Warbler, Prairie Warbler, Red-headed Woodpecker, and Worm-eating Warbler. Lacking complete knowledge on the distribution and abundance of each species with which we could illuminate differences between approaches and provide strong grounds for recommending one approach over another, we used two approaches to compare models: rank correlations among model outputs and comparison of spatial correspondence. In general, rank correlations were significantly positive among models for each species, indicating general agreement among the models.

    Publication Notes

    • Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
    • Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat.
    • During the capture process some typographical errors may occur.
    • Please contact Sharon Hobrla, if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
    • We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
    • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.


    Jones-Farrand, D. Todd; Fearer, Todd M.; Thogmartin, Wayne E.; III, Frank R. Thompson; Nelson, Mark D.; Tirpak, John M. 2011.Comparison of statistical and theoretical habitat models for conservation planning: the benefit of ensemble prediction. Ecological Applications. 21(6): 2269-2282.


    Google Scholar


    Bayesian hierarchical model, Breeding Bird Survey, classification and regression tree, forest inventory and analysis, habitat suitability index, model uncertainty, species distribution model

    Related Search

    XML: View XML
Show More
Show Fewer
Jump to Top of Page