Description

Projections for the United States and Canada to 2030 have been made with a global model to account for concurrent changes in other countries. Three future scenarios were investigated: two IPCC-based scenarios assuming the rapid growth of wood-based energy, and one IPCC-based scenario without this assumption. The model, under the IPCC scenarios, accounted for trends in population, income and land use along with emerging technology and predicted changes to consumption patterns for wood products and bioenergy. Markets for wood products, which mainly are destined for the construction sector in North America, are projected to recover by 2015 under all three scenarios examined. Projections suggest that, in spite of declining use of paper for media, other paper and paperboard for packaging and miscellaneous uses will continue to enjoy strong global demand.

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Citation

Prestemon, Jeffrey P.; Buongiorno, Joseph. 2012. North American Forest Sector Outlook, 2006-2030. United Nations Economic Commission for Europe-Food and Agricultural Organization Report SP-29. 68 p.(Also available at: http://www.unece.org/fileadmin/DAM/timber/publications/SP-29_NAFSOS.pdf). [This UN publication is officially unauthored, but Jeffrey P. Prestemon was the leader in this effort; other authors included Joseph Buongiorno]

Keywords

Bioenergy, biomass, Canada, carbon sequestration, climate change, consumption, demand, econometric, EFSOS, export, fellings, forest products, forest resources, future, GDP, globalization, import, increment, IPCC, markets, modelling, North America, policy, pulp and paper, roundwood, sawnwood, supply, sustainable, United States of America, wood energy.

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