How are America's private forests changing? An integrated assessment of forest management, housing pressure, and urban development in alternate emissions scenariosAuthor(s): Pinki Mondal; Brett J. Butler; David B. Kittredge; Warren K. Moser
Source: Land Use Policy. 32: 230-238.
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
Station: Northern Research Station
Download Publication (1.04 MB)
DescriptionPrivate forests are a vital component of the natural ecosystem infrastructure of the United States, and provide critical ecosystem services including clean air and water, energy, wildlife habitat, recreational services, and wood fiber. These forests have been subject to conversion to developed uses due to increasing population pressures. This study examines the changing patterns in the private forests across the urban-rural gradient in 36 states in the eastern United States. We combine observed forest management activities, housing pressure, and 50-year projections of development pressures under alternate IPCC emission scenarios (A1, A2, B1, and B2) to produce a forest pressures index for a total of 45,707 plots located on privately owned land. We find evidence of continued forest loss in suburban/urban regions, and imminent pressure on private forests in exurban regions, while forests in rural regions are found to be relatively stable in next 50 years. Patterns of forest pressures differ depending on the sub-regions, which can be attributed to differing socio-ecological context of these sub-regions. Forest pressures also differ depending on the alternate scenarios considered, as projected increases in impervious surfaces is higher for the A1 and A2 scenarios as compared to the B1 and B2 scenarios. Land owners, often influenced by changing economic, demographic, and environmental trends, will play an important role in managing goods and services provided by these private forests. While it remains challenging to model forest owner attributes, socio-economic factors appear to be critical in shaping the future forested landscape in the United States.
- Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
- Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat.
- During the capture process some typographical errors may occur.
- Please contact Sharon Hobrla, email@example.com if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
CitationMondal, Pinki.; Butler, Brett J.; Kittredge, David B.; Moser, Warren K. 2013. How are America's private forests changing? An integrated assessment of forest management, housing pressure, and urban development in alternate emissions scenarios. Land Use Policy. 32: 230-238.
KeywordsPrivate forest, Land use, Urban-rural interface, Forest ownership, Socio-economic context, Emission scenario
- Forest Ownership Patterns
- Projecting county-level populations under three future scenarios: a technical document supporting the Forest Service 2010 RPA Assessment
- High-resolution interpolation of climate scenarios for Canada derived from general circulation model simulations
XML: View XML