Skip to Main Content
U.S. Forest Service
Caring for the land and serving people

United States Department of Agriculture

Home > Search > Publication Information

 Due to a lapse in federal funding, this USDA website will not be actively updated. Once funding has been reestablished, online operations will continue.

  1. Share via EmailShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on Twitter
    Dislike this pubLike this pub
    Author(s): Raymond L. CzaplewskiMike T. Thompson
    Date: 2013
    Source: Res. Pap. RMRS-RP-102WWW. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 13 p.
    Publication Series: Research Paper (RP)
    Station: Rocky Mountain Research Station
    PDF: View PDF  (931.1 KB)


    An epidemic of lodgepole pine (Pinus contorta) mortality from the mountain pine beetle (Dendroctonus ponderosae) has swept across the Interior West. Aerial surveys monitor the areal extent of the epidemic, but only Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) field data support a detailed assessment at the tree level. Dynamics of the lodgepole pine population occur at a more rapid rate than the FIA 10-year re-measurement cycle. A model-based approach links population-level estimates from each annual FIA panel estimate. A simple multivariate model predicts the statewide rates of annual change among live uninfected trees, live infected trees, mortality trees, and standing dead trees. A multivariate weighted sum of panel estimates and model predictions of the same attributes improve estimates for each year. Biological structure incorporated into the model improves logical consistency among the various categories of tree-level estimates and smooths annual fluctuations caused by random sampling error. We present concepts in simple terms and illustrate results with FIA data from 2002 to 2008.

    Publication Notes

    • You may send email to to request a hard copy of this publication.
    • (Please specify exactly which publication you are requesting and your mailing address.)
    • We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
    • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.


    Czaplewski, Raymond L.; Thompson, Mike T. 2013. Model-based time-series analysis of FIA panel data absent re-measurements. Res. Pap. RMRS-RP-102WWW. Fort Collins, CO: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Rocky Mountain Research Station. 13 p.


    Google Scholar


    lodgepole pine, Pinus contorta, mountain pine beetle, Dendroctonus ponderosae, Forest Inventory and Analysis (FIA) field data

    Related Search

    XML: View XML
Show More
Show Fewer
Jump to Top of Page