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    Author(s): Anthony R. DeGange; Bruce G. Marcot; James Lawler; Torre Jorgenson; Robert Winfree
    Date: 2013
    Source: Alaska Park Science. 12(2): 66-73
    Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
    Station: Pacific Northwest Research Station
    PDF: View PDF  (2.55 MB)

    Description

    We used a modeling framework and a recent ecological land classification and land cover map to predict how ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska might change in response to increasing temperature. Our results suggest modest increases in forest and tall shrub ecotypes in Northwest Alaska by the end of this century thereby increasing habitat for forest-dwelling and shrub-using birds and mammals. Conversely, we predict declines in several more open low shrub, tussock, and meadow ecotypes favored by many waterbird, shorebird, and small mammal species.

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    • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.

    Citation

    DeGange, Anthony R.; Marcot, Bruce G.; Lawler, James; Jorgenson, Torre; Winfree, Robert. 2013. Predicting the effects of climate change on ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska: results from the WildCast project. Alaska Park Science. 12(2): 66-73.

    Keywords

    climate change, land cover transitions, Alaska, boreal wildlife

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