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Predicting the effects of climate change on ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska: results from the WildCast projectAuthor(s): Anthony R. DeGange; Bruce G. Marcot; James Lawler; Torre Jorgenson; Robert Winfree
Source: Alaska Park Science. 12(2): 66-73
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
Station: Pacific Northwest Research Station
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DescriptionWe used a modeling framework and a recent ecological land classification and land cover map to predict how ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska might change in response to increasing temperature. Our results suggest modest increases in forest and tall shrub ecotypes in Northwest Alaska by the end of this century thereby increasing habitat for forest-dwelling and shrub-using birds and mammals. Conversely, we predict declines in several more open low shrub, tussock, and meadow ecotypes favored by many waterbird, shorebird, and small mammal species.
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CitationDeGange, Anthony R.; Marcot, Bruce G.; Lawler, James; Jorgenson, Torre; Winfree, Robert. 2013. Predicting the effects of climate change on ecosystems and wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska: results from the WildCast project. Alaska Park Science. 12(2): 66-73.
Keywordsclimate change, land cover transitions, Alaska, boreal wildlife
- Projected changes in wildlife habitats in Arctic natural areas of northwest Alaska
- Big changes in cold places: the future of wildlife habitat in northwest Alaska
- Projected changes in diverse ecosystems from climate warming and biophysical drivers in northwest Alaska
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