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    Author(s): Anne C. Tillery; Jessica Haas
    Date: 2016
    Source: Scientific-Investigations Report 2016-5101. Reston, VA: U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey. 27 p.
    Publication Series: Miscellaneous
    Station: Rocky Mountain Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (5.0 MB)


    Wildfire can substantially increase the probability of debris flows, a potentially hazardous and destructive form of mass wasting, in landscapes that have otherwise been stable throughout recent history. Although the exact location, extent, and severity of wildfire or subsequent rainfall intensity and duration cannot be known, probabilities of fire and debris‑flow occurrence for given locations can be estimated with geospatial analysis and modeling. The purpose of this report is to provide information on which watersheds might constitute the most serious potential debris-flow hazards in the event of a large-scale wildfire and subsequent rainfall in the Jemez Mountains. Potential probabilities and estimated volumes of postwildfire debris flows in both the unburned and previously burned areas of the Jemez Mountains and surrounding areas were estimated using empirical debris-flow models developed by the U.S. Geological Survey in combination with fire behavior and burn probability models developed by the U.S. Forest Service

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    Tillery, Anne C.; Haas, Jessica R. 2016. Potential postwildfire debris-flow hazards - A prewildfire evaluation for the Jemez Mountains, north-central New Mexico. Scientific-Investigations Report 2016-5101. Reston, VA: U.S. Department of the Interior, U.S. Geological Survey. 27 p.


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    wildfire, rainfall, debris flow, evaluation, models

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