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    Author(s): Romain Mees; David Strauss; Richard Chase
    Date: 1993
    Source: International Journal of Wildland Fire. 3(3): 179-185.
    Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
    Station: Pacific Southwest Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (883.0 KB)


    We describe a mathematical model for the probability that a fireline succeeds in containing a fire. The probability increases as the fireline width increases, and also as the fire's flame length decreases. More interestingly, uncertainties in width and flame length affect the computed containment probabilities, and can thus indirectly affect the optimum allocation of fire-fighting resources. Uncertainty about the fireline width that will be produced can often affect containment chances as much as uncertainty in flame length.

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    Mees, Romain; Strauss, David; Chase, Richard. 1993. Modeling wildland fire containment with uncertain flame length and fireline width. International Journal of Wildland Fire. 3(3): 179-185.


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    Wildland fireline containment probability, uncertainty in flame length, uncertainty in resource productivity

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