Skip to Main Content
Performance of the SEAPROG prognosis variant of the forest vegetation simulator.Author(s): Michael H. McClellan; Frances E. Biles
Source: Res. Pap. PNW-RP-555. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 15 p
Publication Series: Research Paper (RP)
Station: Pacific Northwest Research Station
Download Publication (668 KB)
DescriptionThis paper reports the first phase of a recent effort to evaluate the performance and use of the FVS-SEAPROG vegetation growth model. In this paper, we present our evaluation of SEAPROG’s performance in modeling the growth of even-aged stands regenerated by clearcutting, windthrow, or fire. We evaluated the model by comparing model predictions to observed values from two sets of long-term permanent plots. We examined six variables: trees per acre, quadratic mean diameter, basal area per acre, height of the largest 40 trees per acre, cubic-foot volume per acre, and board-foot volume per acre. The differences between observed and predicted values were large enough to have important implications for the interpretation and use of the model’s predictions. Of even greater importance was the evidence for considerable bias in quadratic mean diameter, basal area, height, and volume, all of which were systematically underestimated. Our results appear to validate the concerns expressed by users.
- You may send email to firstname.lastname@example.org to request a hard copy of this publication.
- (Please specify exactly which publication you are requesting and your mailing address.)
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
CitationMcClellan, Michael H.; Biles, Frances E. 2003. Performance of the SEAPROG prognosis variant of the forest vegetation simulator. Res. Pap. PNW-RP-555. Portland, OR: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station. 15 p
KeywordsGrowth and yield, forest management, growth projection, modeling, southeast Alaska
- Thirty-five-year growth of thinned and unthinned ponderosa pine in the Methow Valley of northern Washington.
- Sustainability analysis using FORSEE and continuous forest inventory information to compare volume estimation methods for the Valencia coast redwood tract in Santa Cruz County, California
- A western larch-engelmann spruce spacing study in eastern Oregon: results after 10 years.
XML: View XML