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    Author(s): Helen R. Sofaer; Catherine S. Jarnevich; Curtis H. Flather
    Date: 2018
    Source: Global Ecology and Biogeography. 27: 658-666.
    Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
    Station: Rocky Mountain Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (1.0 MB)

    Description

    Conservation planning requires the prioritization of a subset of taxa and geographical locations to focus monitoring and management efforts. Integration of the threats and opportunities posed by climate change often relies on predictions from species distribution models, particularly for assessments of vulnerability or invasion risk for multiple taxa. We evaluated whether species distribution models could reliably rank changes in species range size under climate and land use change.

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    Citation

    Sofaer, Helen R.; Jarnevich, Catherine S.; Flather, Curtis H. 2018. Misleading prioritizations from modelling range shifts under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 27: 658-666.

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    Keywords

    birds, climate change impacts, discrimination performance, invasion risk assessment, model transferability, model validation, species distribution model, vulnerability assessment

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