Skip to Main Content
U.S. Forest Service
Caring for the land and serving people

United States Department of Agriculture

Home > Search > Publication Information

  1. Share via EmailShare on FacebookShare on LinkedInShare on Twitter
    Dislike this pubLike this pub
    Author(s): Helen R. Sofaer; Catherine S. Jarnevich; Curtis H. Flather
    Date: 2018
    Source: Global Ecology and Biogeography. 27: 658-666.
    Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
    Station: Rocky Mountain Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (1.0 MB)


    Conservation planning requires the prioritization of a subset of taxa and geographical locations to focus monitoring and management efforts. Integration of the threats and opportunities posed by climate change often relies on predictions from species distribution models, particularly for assessments of vulnerability or invasion risk for multiple taxa. We evaluated whether species distribution models could reliably rank changes in species range size under climate and land use change.

    Publication Notes

    • You may send email to to request a hard copy of this publication.
    • (Please specify exactly which publication you are requesting and your mailing address.)
    • We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
    • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.


    Sofaer, Helen R.; Jarnevich, Catherine S.; Flather, Curtis H. 2018. Misleading prioritizations from modelling range shifts under climate change. Global Ecology and Biogeography. 27: 658-666.


    Google Scholar


    birds, climate change impacts, discrimination performance, invasion risk assessment, model transferability, model validation, species distribution model, vulnerability assessment

    Related Search

    XML: View XML
Show More
Show Fewer
Jump to Top of Page