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    Author(s): Andy Hines; David N. Bengston; Michael J. Dockry; Adam Cowart
    Date: 2019
    Source: In: Hines, Andy; Bengston, David N.; Dockry, Michael J., comps. The Forest Futures Horizon Scanning project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-187. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 5-13.
    Publication Series: Paper (invited, offered, keynote)
    Station: Northern Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (522.0 KB)

    Description

    The USDA Forest Service, Northern Research Station,s Strategic Foresight Group partnered with the University of Houston Foresight program to design and implement a horizon scanning system for the agency. The guiding question for the project was: What emerging issues might impact forests, forestry, and the Forest Service in the future? The University of Houston's "Framework Foresight" approach provided the conceptual foundation for this horizon scanning system. Framing of the topic is described, including creation of a domain map, and identifying the geographic focus, timeframe, and stakeholders for scanning. Three principal steps in the scanning process are then defined: finding signals of change, collecting the signals in an online database, and analyzing the database in order to shed light on possible implications for the future of forestry. Lessons learned in the implementation of the horizon scanning system are discussed.

    Publication Notes

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    • This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.

    Citation

    Hines, Andy; Bengston, David N.; Dockry, Michael J.; Cowart, Adam. 2019. Setting Up the Forest Futures Horizon Scanning System. In: Hines, Andy; Bengston, David N.; Dockry, Michael J., comps. The Forest Futures Horizon Scanning project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-187. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 5-13. https://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-P-187-paper1. https://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-P-187-paper1.

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