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    Author(s): Leif A. DeVaney; David N. Bengston; Michael J. Dockry; Andy Hines
    Date: 2019
    Source: In: Hines, Andy; Bengston, David N.; Dockry, Michael J., comps. The Forest Futures Horizon Scanning project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-187. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 42-48.
    Publication Series: Paper (invited, offered, keynote)
    Station: Northern Research Station
    PDF: Download Publication  (465.0 KB)

    Description

    Growing indigenous empowerment and recognition of rights with respect to natural resources was identified as an emerging trend in the USDA Forest Service-University of Houston Forest Futures Horizon Scanning system. An exploratory Implications Wheel® exercise was conducted to uncover possible future implications of this trend. The exercise was carried out with a group of University of Houston Foresight graduate students, faculty, and alumni. The exercise did not include American Indian or Alaska Native participants, and due to this limitation it should be viewed as an illustration of the usefulness of the method for exploring the implications of horizon scanning hits. A total of 175 first-, second-, and third-order implications were generated. Analysis of the implications found nine emerging themes and four scenarios. The findings reveal the wide range of significant possibilities that could result from growing indigenous empowerment and suggest the importance of monitoring this trend as it unfolds.

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    Citation

    DeVaney, Leif A.; Bengston, David N.; Dockry, Michael J.; Hines, Andy. 2019. Exploration of a Horizon Scanning Trend: Growing Indigenous Empowerment. In: Hines, Andy; Bengston, David N.; Dockry, Michael J., comps. The Forest Futures Horizon Scanning project. Gen. Tech. Rep. NRS-P-187. Newtown Square, PA: U.S. Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Northern Research Station: 42-48. https://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-P-187-paper6. https://doi.org/10.2737/NRS-GTR-P-187-paper6.

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https://www.fs.usda.gov/treesearch/pubs/57947