Skip to Main Content
Assessing preferences for growth on the rural-urban fringe using a stated choice analysisAuthor(s): Lorraine Foelske; Carena J. van Riper; William Stewart; Amy Ando; Paul Gobster; Len Hunt
Source: Landscape and Urban Planning
Publication Series: Scientific Journal (JRNL)
Station: Northern Research Station
View PDF (1.0 MB)
DescriptionIncreasing the capacity of communities on the rural-urban fringe to accommodate sustainable growth is a key concern among resource management agencies. Decisions about the future of these landscapes involve difficult tradeoffs that underscore the importance of incorporating diverse stakeholder values and preferences into planning efforts. We assessed residents' preferences for exurban growth alternatives in two Midwestern U.S. counties – Jasper County, IA and Will County, IL – that have strong agrarian roots and lie at the fringe of rapidly-expanding metropolitan areas. Using a choice model, we identified how six landscape characteristics influenced respondents’ stated choices for growth scenarios. Informed by previous research, focus groups, and pilot testing, our final model evaluated preferences for residential growth, protected grasslands, recreation, agriculture, bison reintroduction, and unemployment. Results from a county-wide survey mailed to 3000 residents (final N=889) indicated that five of the six landscape-scale attributes significantly influenced residents' choices. Increased residential growth, more protected grasslands and agricultural lands, and greater access to recreation positively predicted choices for hypothetical growth scenarios while residents preferred future scenarios with low levels of unemployment. Further, the strength of preferences for these land use and economic conditions differed between Jasper and Will County residents. The study findings aid decision makers who face growth and urbanization pressures and provide insight on how to integrate preferences of current residents into planning decisions at a regional scale.
- Check the Northern Research Station web site to request a printed copy of this publication.
- Our on-line publications are scanned and captured using Adobe Acrobat.
- During the capture process some typographical errors may occur.
- Please contact Sharon Hobrla, firstname.lastname@example.org if you notice any errors which make this publication unusable.
- We recommend that you also print this page and attach it to the printout of the article, to retain the full citation information.
- This article was written and prepared by U.S. Government employees on official time, and is therefore in the public domain.
CitationFoelske, Lorraine; van Riper, Carena J.; Stewart, William; Ando, Amy; Gobster, Paul; Hunt, Len. 2019. Assessing preferences for growth on the rural-urban fringe using a stated choice analysis. Landscape and Urban Planning. 189: 396-407. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2019.05.016.
- Science You Can Use Bulletin: Coming to a landscape near you: Natural resource changes in the Interior West
- The role, use and benefits of natural recreation areas within and near residential subdivisions
- Understanding Landscape Change in Open Space Neighborhoods: Views from Developers and Residents
XML: View XML