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    The RPA Timber Assessment projects, over the next 50 years, the likelihood of increasing relative use of imported forest products versus U.S. roundwood harvest to meet U.S. consumption needs, although our projected consumption needs are now estimated to be lower than we projected in 1993. The projected higher imports relative to U.S. roundwood harvest is due in part to slower projected increase in available hardwood inventory and harvest in the South. Softwood harvest is projected to increase notably with increasing area and management intensity for plantations in the South, and we project higher softwood harvest than we did in 1993. U.S. roundwood harvest to meet domestic and export demands is projected to increase from 18.0 to 22.4 billion cubic feet (24%) over the next 50 years (less than one-third the annual rate of the past 44 years). All the projected increase in roundwood harvest comes from non-sawtimber, most from non-industrial land, and most from the South. To offset current net imports of forest products would require 14% more than current harvest be provided for domestic use by redirecting harvest used for exports or by increasing harvest. By 2050, this requirement increases to 36% of roundwood harvest.

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    Skog, Kenneth; Haynes, Richard W. 2002. Projections of shifts in US Forest Products produced, imported, and exported and sources of roundwood and other fiber used to make them. Proceedings of the 2001 Society of American Foresters national convention, Denver, Colorado, September 13-17, 2001. Bethesda, MD : Society of American Foresters, c2002: Pages 270-283.


    Projections, United States, forest products, roundwood requirements, trade.

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