longleaf pine (Pinus palustris)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 4.9 | 14.1 | 20333 | N/A |
| RFimp | 7.2 | 8 | 16950 | 0.83 |
| CCSM45 | 21.7 | 7.2 | 46115 | 2.72 |
| CCSM85 | 30.8 | 7.5 | 67592 | 3.99 |
| GFDL45 | 28.9 | 8 | 67918 | 4.01 |
| GFDL85 | 35.9 | 7.6 | 80227 | 4.73 |
| HAD45 | 20.7 | 6.4 | 39221 | 2.31 |
| HAD85 | 23.3 | 5.7 | 38790 | 2.29 |
| GCM45 | 29.2 | 6 | 51084 | 3.01 |
| GCM85 | 36.9 | 5.7 | 62203 | 3.67 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Longleaf pine is narrowly distributed species (3.8% of area), sparse among FIA plots, but high in importance when it occurs. This southern pine is modeled to expand its potential area greatly, though only a medium reliability model. Its adaptability is medium, and does well under fire which may increase in prominence. It is now only a fraction of its former status but we give it a fair capability rating under climate change and RCP 8.5 even puts habitat in northern sandy regions and the Black Hills of South Dakota. SHIFT reports it a viable infill species, but it also contrains the natural northward migration of the species, especially under RCP 8.5.
Family: Pinaceae
Guild: pioneer, dry-site intolerant
Functional Lifeform: large evergreen conifer
| 4.2 | 0.96 |
| -1.74 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact longleaf pine's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Fire topkill
Primary Negative Traits
Shade tolerance