longleaf pine (Pinus palustris)

 Interpretation GuideView the guide to reading the interpretive narrations

Longleaf pine is narrowly distributed species (3.8% of area), sparse among FIA plots, but high in importance when it occurs. This southern pine is modeled to expand its potential area greatly, though only a medium reliability model. Its adaptability is medium, and does well under fire which may increase in prominence. It is now only a fraction of its former status but we give it a fair capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US. rating under climate change and RCP 8.5 even puts habitat in northern sandy regions and the Black Hills of South Dakota. SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II reports it a viable infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species. species, but it also contrains the natural northward migration of the species, especially under RCP 8.5.

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario