loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)

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Loblolly pine is a widely distributed (19.8% of area), dense, and highly important (higher cumulative importance value, FIAsum, than any other eastern species, and second with respect to average importance where it is found) southern pine with a highly reliable model suggesting expansion northward. It is moderately adapted to a changing climate, but is so abundant that its overall capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US. rating is good. Futhermore, SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II identifies it as a very good infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species. species, but SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II also models a restriction in its northward migration potential over 100 years, especially under RCP 8.5.

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario