loblolly pine (Pinus taeda)
Model Reliability: High
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 26.2 | 35.7 | 274461 | N/A |
| RFimp | 32 | 29 | 272297 | 0.99 |
| CCSM45 | 45 | 24.6 | 325241 | 1.19 |
| CCSM85 | 54 | 22.4 | 354864 | 1.3 |
| GFDL45 | 52.8 | 22.6 | 350456 | 1.29 |
| GFDL85 | 65.6 | 20 | 385697 | 1.42 |
| HAD45 | 51.7 | 21.5 | 326665 | 1.2 |
| HAD85 | 64.2 | 18.6 | 350908 | 1.29 |
| GCM45 | 53.8 | 21.1 | 334121 | 1.23 |
| GCM85 | 66.8 | 18.5 | 363836 | 1.34 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Loblolly pine is a widely distributed (19.8% of area), dense, and highly important (higher cumulative importance value, FIAsum, than any other eastern species, and second with respect to average importance where it is found) southern pine with a highly reliable model suggesting expansion northward. It is moderately adapted to a changing climate, but is so abundant that its overall capability rating is good. Futhermore, SHIFT identifies it as a very good infill species, but SHIFT also models a restriction in its northward migration potential over 100 years, especially under RCP 8.5.
Family: Pinaceae
Guild: pioneer, dry/mesic intolerant
Functional Lifeform: large evergreen conifer
| 3.4 | -0.51 |
| -0.66 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact loblolly pine's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Environment habitat specificity
Primary Negative Traits
Insect pests Drought Shade tolerance