Virginia pine (Pinus virginiana)
Model Reliability: High
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 8 | 9.2 | 21613 | N/A |
| RFimp | 10.8 | 6.1 | 19215 | 0.89 |
| CCSM45 | 15.2 | 4 | 17809 | 0.93 |
| CCSM85 | 16.4 | 3.8 | 18455 | 0.96 |
| GFDL45 | 16 | 3.7 | 17501 | 0.91 |
| GFDL85 | 18.6 | 3.6 | 19478 | 1.01 |
| HAD45 | 14 | 3.7 | 15057 | 0.78 |
| HAD85 | 17.8 | 3.5 | 18398 | 0.96 |
| GCM45 | 18.5 | 3.1 | 16789 | 0.87 |
| GCM85 | 21.5 | 3 | 18780 | 0.98 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Virginia pine is narrowly distributed (6.0% of area), dense and highly important, middle continent pine with moderate adaptability, high abundance, and high model reliability. The model shows a very slight decrease in habitat, and only under RCP 4.5. Because of its common abundance and mid-adaptability rating, we class this species with a fair capability to cope with a changing climate. SHIFT does present the species as a decent species for infilling, and suggests that the newly suitable habitat in New England (under RCP 8.5) is not likely to get naturally colonized over the next 100 years.
Family: Pinaceae
Guild: pioneer, dry-site intolerant
Functional Lifeform: small to medium-size evergreentree
| 3.8 | 0.10 |
| -0.81 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact Virginia pine's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Primary Negative Traits
Shade tolerance