bald cypress (Taxodium distichum)

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Bald cypress is a narrowly distributed (2.9% of area), sparse, but of high importance species where it occurs in bottomlands. Though medium in model reliability, it shows an increase in suitable habitat, primarily up the eastern seaboard, and even more under the harsher RCP 8.5. Perhaps the species may not find suitable moist soil conditions everywhere, but we still give it a fair rating for capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US. to cope. SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II also indicates it appropriate for infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species.ing when conditions allow, and SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II also models restricted northward movement up the eastern seaboard over the next 100 years.

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario