boxelder (Acer negundo)

 Interpretation GuideView the guide to reading the interpretive narrations

Boxelder is a widely distributed (12.4% of area), sparse, but high IV species (especially in the western part of region), but with a low reliable model suggesting a small increase in suitable habitat (RCP 8.5). It is highly adapted to the changing climate, yielding a very good (RCP 8.5) or good (RCP 4.5) overall capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US. to accommodate future climate trends. The SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II model also suggests it to be a very good species for infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species. planting, and the wide distribution also allows SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II to suggest expansion from current locations over a 100-year period.

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario