cittamwood/gum bumelia (Sideroxylon lanuginosum ssp. lanuginosum)
Model Reliability: Low
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1.4 | 5.2 | 2139 | N/A |
| RFimp | 1.8 | 1.6 | 861 | 0.4 |
| CCSM45 | 9.5 | 2.4 | 6754 | 7.85 |
| CCSM85 | 27.8 | 3.3 | 26567 | 30.87 |
| GFDL45 | 21.2 | 2.9 | 17799 | 20.68 |
| GFDL85 | 43 | 3.3 | 41720 | 48.48 |
| HAD45 | 35.7 | 3.3 | 34867 | 40.51 |
| HAD85 | 61 | 4.1 | 73096 | 84.93 |
| GCM45 | 37.5 | 1.8 | 19807 | 23.01 |
| GCM85 | 62.9 | 2.6 | 47131 | 54.76 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Chittamwood is narrowly distributed (2.3% of area), sparse, low IV species located mostly in the southwest portion of the eastern US. The very low reliable model presents a very large expansion of habitat, especially under RCP 8.5. The species is also quite highly adaptable (tolerant of drought and high temperatures) and, coupled with the large increase in habitat, it recieves an overall rating of good. However, the SHIFT model demonstrates that only a very small portion of the new suitable habitat could be colonized within 100 years, so that it is constrained to the southwestern quadrant of the eastern US.
Family: Sapotaceae
Guild: small deciduous tree
| 5.6 | 1.97 |
| -0.40 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact cittamwood/gum bumelia's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Drought Temperature gradient
Primary Negative Traits
Fire topkill Shade tolerance