American hornbeam; musclewood (Carpinus caroliniana)

 Interpretation GuideView the guide to reading the interpretive narrations

American hornbeam, or musclewood, is a widely distributed (10.7% of area), sparse, low IV but common species distributed widely across the eastern US. It is modeled as a large increaser (RCP 8.5) or small increaser (RCP 4.5) with a low reliable model, but because of its medium adaptability and increasing status, its overall rating is very good (RCP 8.5) to good (RCP 4.5). SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II shows that this is a good infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species. species with some migration capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US..

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario