water hickory (Carya aquatica)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1.7 | 5.4 | 2624 | N/A |
| RFimp | 2 | 3.1 | 1785 | 0.68 |
| CCSM45 | 3 | 2.8 | 2459 | 1.38 |
| CCSM85 | 4.5 | 2.5 | 3251 | 1.82 |
| GFDL45 | 3.4 | 2.7 | 2686 | 1.5 |
| GFDL85 | 4.8 | 2.4 | 3429 | 1.92 |
| HAD45 | 4.2 | 2.5 | 3084 | 1.73 |
| HAD85 | 4.7 | 2.3 | 3261 | 1.83 |
| GCM45 | 4.4 | 2.1 | 2743 | 1.54 |
| GCM85 | 5.6 | 2 | 3314 | 1.86 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Water hickory, though Little records it across the south, is narrowly distributed (1.7% of area), sparse, and low IV, with its core area being located in the southern Mississippi River valley. It has a medium reliable model that suggests it will have little change under climate change, but with some increase in habitat under the RCP 8.5 scenario. With a moderate adaptability rating and moderate abundance, we give an overall capability rating of fair. SHIFT reports it to be a decent species for infilling.
Family: Juglandaceae
Guild: persistent, large seeded, advance growth required
Functional Lifeform: medium-tall deciduous tree
| 4 | 0.86 |
| -2.04 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact water hickory's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Primary Negative Traits
Fire topkill Environment habitat specificity