flowering dogwood (Cornus florida)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 19.9 | 1.8 | 10612 | N/A |
| RFimp | 21.7 | 1.3 | 8072 | 0.76 |
| CCSM45 | 38.9 | 1.1 | 12598 | 1.56 |
| CCSM85 | 43.2 | 1.2 | 14752 | 1.83 |
| GFDL45 | 42.4 | 1.2 | 14343 | 1.78 |
| GFDL85 | 45.6 | 1.2 | 15456 | 1.91 |
| HAD45 | 40.8 | 1.1 | 12718 | 1.58 |
| HAD85 | 42.2 | 1.1 | 13323 | 1.65 |
| GCM45 | 44.3 | 1 | 13219 | 1.64 |
| GCM85 | 48.1 | 1 | 14510 | 1.8 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Flowering dogwood has been recently hit hard by anthracnose, but it is still widely distributed (15.7% of area), dense, and with low IV throughout the south central portion of the eastern US. The medium reliable model suggest a slight increase in habitat, yielding an overall rating of good capability to cope with a changing climate. The anthracnose disease, however, may overrule this rating. SHIFT reports good infilling.
Family: Cornaceae
Guild: opportunistic, fast-growing understory tolerant
Functional Lifeform: small deciduous tree
| 5 | 0.07 |
| 0.95 | ![]() |
MODFACs
What traits will impact flowering dogwood's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Shade tolerance

