flowering dogwood (Cornus florida)

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Flowering dogwood has been recently hit hard by anthracnose, but it is still widely distributed (15.7% of area), dense, and with low IV throughout the south central portion of the eastern US. The medium reliable model suggest a slight increase in habitat, yielding an overall rating of good capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US. to cope with a changing climate. The anthracnose disease, however, may overrule this rating. SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II reports good infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species.ing.

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario