loblolly-bay (Gordonia lasianthus)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1.2 | 6.8 | 2479 | N/A |
| RFimp | 1.7 | 3.9 | 1904 | 0.77 |
| CCSM45 | 3.1 | 3.6 | 3292 | 1.73 |
| CCSM85 | 3.1 | 3.8 | 3444 | 1.81 |
| GFDL45 | 3 | 3.8 | 3312 | 1.74 |
| GFDL85 | 3.2 | 3.8 | 3592 | 1.89 |
| HAD45 | 2.8 | 3.7 | 3059 | 1.61 |
| HAD85 | 3 | 3.4 | 2962 | 1.56 |
| GCM45 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3221 | 1.69 |
| GCM85 | 3.5 | 3.2 | 3333 | 1.75 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Loblolly-bay is narrowly distributed (1.0% of area) but has a fairly high IV in only the extreme southeastern quadrant of the eastern US. The medium reliable model suggests a slight expansion of habitat, but it is still classed as 'No change'. The SHIFT model restricts natural migration up the eastern seaboard on this species. With moderate adaptability, we rate the overall capability to cope as fair. It is also classed a candidate for infilling.
Family: Theaceae
Guild: opportunistic, shade tolerant, dispersal limited
Functional Lifeform: small to medium sized evergreen
| 3.9 | 0.56 |
| -1.40 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact loblolly-bay's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Shade tolerance
Primary Negative Traits
Seedling establishment Fire topkill Environment habitat specificity