yellow-poplar (Liriodendron tulipifera)
Model Reliability: High
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 23.2 | 9.3 | 63691 | N/A |
| RFimp | 32.1 | 6.4 | 60294 | 0.95 |
| CCSM45 | 39.4 | 4.7 | 54147 | 0.9 |
| CCSM85 | 45.3 | 3.7 | 49709 | 0.82 |
| GFDL45 | 48.6 | 3.7 | 52238 | 0.87 |
| GFDL85 | 53.9 | 3.1 | 49281 | 0.82 |
| HAD45 | 39 | 3.4 | 39317 | 0.65 |
| HAD85 | 43.1 | 3.1 | 39174 | 0.65 |
| GCM45 | 50 | 3.3 | 48570 | 0.81 |
| GCM85 | 57 | 2.8 | 46062 | 0.76 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Yellow poplar is widely distributed (18.2% of area), dense, with high average IV, and abundant across the eastern portion of the US. Our highly reliable model suggests a small decrease in total habitat but expansion of area occupied substantially northward (especially under RCP 8.5). However, the SHIFT model largely limits those northern locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though a fairly large northward expansion has some possibility. Despite its potential slight reduction in habitat suitability within its occupied zone, its expansion of area, abundance, and high adaptability yield an overall capability of good for this species.
Family: Magnoliaceae
Guild: opportunistic, long-lived intermediate
Functional Lifeform: large deciduous tree
| 5.3 | 0.13 |
| 1.26 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact yellow-poplar's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Seedling establishment Dispersal Environment habitat specificity
Primary Negative Traits