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southern magnolia (Magnolia grandiflora)

Model Reliability: Low



Current Forest Inventory and Analysis under Current Conditions
Current Forest Inventory and Analysis under Current Conditions
(DISTRIB-II + SHIFT)
HQCL Legend Help
Importance Value
GCM SCENARIO % Area Occ Ave IV Sum IV Future/Current IV
Actual22.51442N/A
RFimp21.47940.55
CCSM4513.31.246145.81
CCSM8521.71.276809.68
GFDL4521.41.276519.64
GFDL8525.21.2870110.96
HAD4510.51.133734.25
HAD859.41.129673.74
GCM4522.10.852136.57
GCM8527.60.864498.13

Regional Summary Tree Tables

 Cautions  Model Info  FAQ

 Interpretation Guide


Southern magnolia is narrowly distributed (1.5% of area), sparse, and with low IV across the southern portion of the Gulf States; however, the low reliable model suggests a small increase (RCP 8.5), or expansion of this species, northward. However, because of its rarity, along with its moderate adaptability, it rates as fair (RCP 8.5) to poor (RCP 4.5) with regards to capacity to cope. SHIFT shows good infill and minor migration.



Family:  Magnoliaceae

Guild:  opportunistic, fast growing, shade tolerant

Functional Lifeform:  medium sized evergreen tree

4.9 0.56
0.40 Model Reliability Low

MODFACs
What traits will impact southern magnolia's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:

 Primary Positive Traits

Seedling establishment Shade tolerance Fire topkill

 Primary Negative Traits

Drought Environment habitat specificity


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