water tupelo (Nyssa aquatica)
Model Reliability: Medium
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1.6 | 10.4 | 5028 | N/A |
| RFimp | 1.9 | 5.6 | 3165 | 0.63 |
| CCSM45 | 3.7 | 3.7 | 4087 | 1.29 |
| CCSM85 | 5 | 3.6 | 5291 | 1.67 |
| GFDL45 | 4.9 | 3.5 | 5124 | 1.62 |
| GFDL85 | 5.5 | 3.4 | 5526 | 1.75 |
| HAD45 | 3.1 | 3.9 | 3592 | 1.13 |
| HAD85 | 2.9 | 3.9 | 3353 | 1.06 |
| GCM45 | 5.2 | 2.8 | 4268 | 1.35 |
| GCM85 | 6.3 | 2.6 | 4724 | 1.49 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Water tupelo currently resides fairly commonly and with high IV when found, though narrowly and sparsely distributed (1.4% of area) within the bottom lowlands of the lower Mississippi and the southeast coastal areas. It is projected, with a medium reliable model, to have no changes in suitable habitat in coming decades. It is also poorly adaptable, so that its overall rating is poor. Nonetheless, SHIFT classes it as a potential infill species should conditions be appropriate.
Family: Nyssaceae
Guild: opportunistic, dispersal limited (large-seeded)
Functional Lifeform: large deciduous tree
| 2.3 | -0.86 |
| -2.05 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact water tupelo's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?:
Primary Positive Traits
Primary Negative Traits
Drought Fire topkill Shade tolerance Environment habitat specificity