sycamore (Platanus occidentalis)
Model Reliability: Low
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 7.6 | 5.4 | 12019 | N/A |
| RFimp | 10 | 2.6 | 7737 | 0.64 |
| CCSM45 | 26 | 2 | 15487 | 2 |
| CCSM85 | 42.2 | 2.1 | 26408 | 3.41 |
| GFDL45 | 41 | 2.2 | 26610 | 3.44 |
| GFDL85 | 54.7 | 2.3 | 37356 | 4.83 |
| HAD45 | 39.4 | 2.2 | 25137 | 3.25 |
| HAD85 | 49.2 | 2.3 | 32747 | 4.23 |
| GCM45 | 43.2 | 1.8 | 22416 | 2.9 |
| GCM85 | 55.9 | 2 | 32178 | 4.16 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Sycamore is narrowly distributed (7.3% of area), sparse, and low IV, but is quite common in riparian areas across the midsection of the eastern US. Its low reliable model suggests increases in abundance and territory to the far north, especially under RCP 8.5 (though still classed as 'No change' due to it occupying <10% of the eastern US). However, the SHIFT model largely limits those northern locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some northward expansion has possibility. It is also moderately adaptable such that the overall ranking for the species is fair.
Family: Platanaceae
Guild: opportunistic, long-lived intermediate
Functional Lifeform: large deciduous tree
| 4.8 | 1.28 |
| -0.90 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact sycamore's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?: