chokecherry (Prunus virginiana)
Model Reliability: Current Distribution Only
Current Distribution Only
The model reliability (ModRel) for chokecherry was too low (< 0.14), therefore only the current Forest Inventory & Analysis distribution is shown.
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 2.1 | 1.5 | 932 | N/A |
| RFimp | 1.7 | 0.6 | 309 | 0.33 |
| CCSM45 | 2.3 | 0.2 | 120 | 0.39 |
| CCSM85 | 3.2 | 0.1 | 82 | 0.27 |
| GFDL45 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 87 | 0.28 |
| GFDL85 | 3.6 | 0.1 | 63 | 0.2 |
| HAD45 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 85 | 0.27 |
| HAD85 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 45 | 0.14 |
| GCM45 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 97 | 0.31 |
| GCM85 | 4.4 | 0 | 63 | 0.2 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Chokecherry is narrowly distributed (1.9% of area), sparse, low IV and rare species across parts of the north. Its model was unreliable for predicting future habitat. We do, however, grade it with medium adaptability.
Family: Rosaceae
Guild: pioneer, short-lived, fast growing
Functional Lifeform: small deciduous tree