white oak (Quercus alba)

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White oak is widely distributed (28.6% of area, fourth behind red maple, black cherry, and American elm), dense, high IV, and abundant (fifth in FIAsum behind loblolly pine, red maple, sweetgum, and sugar maple) throughout much of the eastern US, with a medium reliable model predicting a small increase in suitable habitat, throughout most of the eastern US and up past the Canadian border (RCP 8.5), by century's end. However, the SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II model largely limits those northern locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though a fairly large northward expansion has some possibility. While it is susceptible to some insects and diseases, it is tolerant of drought and rates a high adaptability rating. Thus, its overall rating for capabilityAn overall estimate of capability for the species to cope or persist with the changing climate within the eastern US. is very good, and SHIFTMigration model that calculates the likelihood of colonization, based on current abundance over an approximately 100-year time period period to roughly intersect the future suitable habitats predicted by DISTRIB-II identifies it as a very good species for infillThe species is projected, according to SHIFT, to be a good species to plant to ‘fill in’ suitable habitats, most often in the general proximity and gaps present in the current range of the species.ing as well.

RCP 4.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the Moderate Emissions (RCP 4.5) climate model scenarioRCP 8.5 SHIFTLoad DISTRIB-II + SHIFT output for the High Emissions (RCP 8.5) climate model scenario