swamp white oak (Quercus bicolor)
Model Reliability: Low
| GCM SCENARIO | % Area Occ | Ave IV | Sum IV | Future/Current IV |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | 1.2 | 6.1 | 2223 | N/A |
| RFimp | 1.5 | 2.4 | 1070 | 0.48 |
| CCSM45 | 4.8 | 1.7 | 2378 | 2.22 |
| CCSM85 | 10.3 | 1.5 | 4623 | 4.32 |
| GFDL45 | 8.7 | 1.6 | 4009 | 3.75 |
| GFDL85 | 12 | 1.4 | 5041 | 4.71 |
| HAD45 | 9.6 | 1.5 | 4355 | 4.07 |
| HAD85 | 9.6 | 1.3 | 3774 | 3.53 |
| GCM45 | 11.2 | 1.1 | 3592 | 3.36 |
| GCM85 | 13.8 | 1.1 | 4490 | 4.2 |
Regional Summary Tree Tables
Summaries for tree species are available for a variety of geographies, in both PDF and Excel format. These summaries are based on Version 4 of the Climate Change Tree Atlas
Interpretation Guide
Swamp white oak is narrowly distributed (1.6% of area), sparse, low IV, and rare across the Midwest, yielding a low reliable model, but that predicts an increase (though still classed as 'No change' because of rarity) in habitat by 2100, including into the Northwoods and Maine under RCP 4.5. However, the SHIFT model largely limits those northern locations from being naturally colonized within 100 years, though some northward expansion has possibility. It has moderate adaptability but its low abundance yields a poor overall capability rating for the species.
Family: Fagaceae
Guild: persistent, large-seeded, advance growth dependent
Functional Lifeform: medium sized deciduous tree
| 4.9 | 1.04 |
| -0.30 |  |
MODFACs
What traits will impact swamp white oak's ability to adapt to climate change, and in what way?: